The public debate on reducing carbon is often stuck at a
“macro” picture, and usually ignores people who are the actual end-point consumers of
all economic, commercial and industrial activities. Given the scale of the problem, our general inclination is to
look at esoteric solutions (e.g. carbon
sequestering) to bury the problem. The cost of implementing
and managing such systems triggers stiff resistance, and precipitates such illogical
questions like “is global warming really man made?” or “how does it help if we do but other countries
do not?”.
Turning away from reality or ceding the leadership in critical matters can hardly be considered as great options.
While the “polluter pays” principle has found acceptance, it
is generally believed that this concept cannot be extended down to the end user level,
at least directly. This leaves the individual out at the fringes of the debate,
leaving politicians and lobbyists to thrash the issues out or lock themselves into a stalemate.
Why not get everyone involved?
Every person is responsible for greenhouse gases when the
person consumes energy, specially that coming from burning of fossil fuel. This is a result of everyday activities when a car is driven, energy
is used at home, tap is turned on and garbage is generated. And this makes it harder to look at solutions at the consumption end.
We look at the two areas- Carbon Dioxide emission from cars and homes below.
We look at the two areas- Carbon Dioxide emission from cars and homes below.
Saving carbon on the road
According to data from DOT and EPA, United States has 237 million private vehicles
registered in 2012. DOT estimates that a
vehicle is driven, on an average 12,000 miles per year. The average gas
consumption per vehicle is 23.5 miles
on 1 gallon of fuel. A quick calculations brings
out that a motor vehicle emits 4.51 tons of Carbon Dioxide
every year. From this we can estimate
that 1,073,365,831 (1.07 Billion) Tons of the greenhouse gas is
released in the US!
A 5% saving can spare 53 million tons of CO2 (creating as many Carbon Units).
A 5% saving can spare 53 million tons of CO2 (creating as many Carbon Units).
Now if we
price this savings in the Carbon market, taking the price at $14.6 per ton (or
per Carbon Unit) that was struck in the second auction in California this year, we are looking at a value of $780 million in carbon offsets. This number, of course,
will rise when the Carbon Market becomes stronger.
A 5%
saving means that a user can choose to either shave off 50 miles of driving every
month, or take steps to raise the fuel efficiency of the vehicle to 24.6
gallons per mile. [This last argument needs to be qualified since EPA has fuel efficiency
benchmark for different makes and models, and a user will have to coax more to
go beyond the specified benchmark for his vehicle]
Carbon Savings in the homes
According
to Census data there are 132 million (132,312,404) housing units in the US
(2011). EPA has estimated that average annual energy consumption per housing unit
was 11,280 kWh. This translates into 7.95 tons of CO2 every year, or 1.05 Billion
tons collectively. This number is inline with the findings (2008) by California Building Industry Association that single family homes of 2400 sq. feet generates 10.9 metric tons of Carbon Dioxide every year!
Proceeding as before, and assuming a 5% frugality by dwellers,
there is a potential to save and bring 52 million tons of Carbon Units into the
Carbon market valued at $768 million. A 5% annual saving of
carbon is roughly equivalent to running your air-conditioner half an hour less
every day (assuming that you run a 1.5 Ton AC, 10 hours a day, 6 months in a
year) or as simple as not having your AC running in the parked car while you are in the supermarket.
Not just numbers only!
Sounds
like purely an Excel exercise? Actually
there have been some interesting examples.
Take the case of Maine Housing Authority. Using Weatherization
Assistance Program, they devised a way of measuring and certifying reduction in Carbon Dioxide emissions from low income housing units. This saving was converted and sold
as Carbon Units. In 2012, the Housing Authority sold 7000 Residential offsets
to Chevrolet who helped them in making investments to develop the carbon
offset. The Authority has made an interesting revenue projection ( a screen shot appears below)
Notice that the middle price projections is based on $15 per unit (the 2013 pricing in California Carbon Market)
With innovative experiments like this, it is not too difficult to develop a model where
individual drivers and home dwellers are motivated enough to save carbon, and
participate collectively in the carbon market. The Units they save, however
small, can accumulate periodically, instead of just disappearing unaccounted. These Units will get traded and earn financial returns via carbon
markets. Such an arrangement will have the potential to kick off a positive
feedback loop to generate more savings!
The end
user, once coupled with the carbon market via the model, will perceive the carbon saving programs to be financially rewarding. Note that this earning via carbon Units is in addition to the savings that accrue on reducing energy bills.
It is
easy to see that the feedback loop, once started, can trigger a demand
for energy efficient appliances, electronic gadgets that reduce vampire trickle (a report by NRDC has
revealed that the chargers are responsible for 5 million tons of the greenhouse
gases in US every year) and fuel-efficient vehicles.
Manufacturers will introduce energy saving products based on the pressure
of demand, instead of fighting or reluctantly agreeing to regulations. This may stimulate interest in accelerate retrofitting and installation of solar panels.
You will not only feel good about saving the planet...but will have your carbon units to vouch for it too!
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